Andres steadily strengthening, disturbance in Bay of Campeche, and will Texas get any rain?

Tropical Storm Andres is steadily intensifying, now with winds of 65mph, as it wobbles between a more westerly and more northerly direction, on a general course towards the southwestern coast of Mexico. It may also impact Baja California before heading west out to sea and dissipating. The SHIPS model indicates close to 20 knots of wind shear that is expected to environ Andres. Interaction with land (indeed a possible if not probable landfall on the Mexican coast) is also an issue. Ergo, Andres will not likely intensify beyond Category 1 hurricane status.

There is also some convective debris scattered over the Bay of Campeche; a disorganized disturbance which has a small chance (around 10% in my estimation) of becoming the Atlantic basin's second tropical depression. It currently has a mid-level circulation but not much of a surface one to speak of, a requirement for development into a tropical cyclone. This might bring south Texas some rain and relief from the heat, but it's likely the rain will be around the coast and will not reach Houston or penetrate inland.

Any comments are more than welcome.