My apologies for the sporadic updating. Now that the Atlantic is heating up in a major way you can expect much more frequent updates.
Tropical Depression #2 formed in the far eastern Atlantic but a combination of dry, stable air to it's north and moderate wind shear weakened the system and the National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on the system just a few hours ago. It has decayed into a remnant low pressure area and regeneration is not expected.
There's also another disturbance near Hispaniola and the Bahamas but it doesn't look like it will develop.
Of much more interest is Invest 90L, a large tropical wave with plenty of convection in it's outer bands near the Cape Verde islands. This has a high chance (I estimate around 90%) of developing into our next depression. The computer models forecast it not to be impacted as severely by the dry air as TD#2, and in fact they are hinting it may become a major hurricane. It's forecasted to head towards the Leeward Islands but it's still a long way off and we have plenty of time to track it.
Felicia in the east Pacific dissipated just as it hit Hawaii. It caused no real damage there. It was stripped of convection by shear by the time it arrived.
Another storm, Guillermo, has formed in the Pacific and it may also impact Hawaii in about a week. It could easily intensify into a hurricane so we'll watch that one closely.
I expect to post a much more detailed blog post tomorrow morning. Comments are more than welcome. : - )
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August
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- Sorry for the lack of updating recently - this one...
- Tropical Storm Danny and Invest 94L
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- Category 4 Hurricane Bill churning out in the open...
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- Ana dying, Bill strengthening, Claudette striking ...
- Ana, Bill, 91L, Guillermo and another wave off Africa
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- Twin storms in the Pacific, Quiet Atlantic
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