Another disturbance has formed off the U.S. East Coast and has been designated Invest 91L. 91L is currently near North Carolina and indeed may impact there later on. It looks fairly well organized with a mid-level rotation but not much activity down at the surface (which is required for tropical/subtropical development) that I can see, although there are some indications a surface low may be forming. It is over cool waters, probably too cold for it to become a purely tropical system although slow development into a subtropical depression or storm over the next few days is possible as it moves into warmer waters over the Gulf Stream. Also a thing to note is the majority of it's convection is to the north and northwest of the center, and thus over warmer waters. As of now I'm giving it a 20% chance of developing.
The National Hurricane Center doesn't seem impressed with this disturbance - no special tropical weather outlook has been issued so far.
ExplosiveDeepening does not track tropical systems outside of the Atlantic and East Pacific basins, but I thought I should mention that there has been at least 120 people killed in India and Bangladesh from Cyclone Aila. Aila made landfall as a weak Category 1 or strong tropical storm yet mostly due to the poor preparations and overpopulation in those countries there were still many casualties and even more people injured or made homeless.
By the way, if you find explosivedeepening.com down in the near future, you can go to explosivedeepening.net, a mirror site.
Any comments are more than welcome.
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